We are One Year Old! Yippee!
Time flies they say and it couldn’t be truer about how fast a year has passed since Portfolio Yoga got started. I have been writing on public forums since 2004 with focus mainly on trading and technical analysis and the initial game plan was to provide reader’s with data backed analysis that is both interesting and yet actionable. Despite the fact that Bombay Stock Exchange is Asia’s oldest stock exchange, when it comes to data, we are a long way behind many of our peers. The fact that we decided to create an Index a century after the idea was born in the United States is a story to tell in itself.
Trading is a tough business with success rate being lower than starting any other business. In my twenty years in market, I have seen both riches and the horrors that accompany success and failures. While data shows that majority of businesses do not survive for 10 years, when it comes to trading, that time frame gets drastically cut down with a large majority of traders quitting it way early (unless they are having a full time job or a Inheritance on which they can draw their financial strength from). Any wonder then that more people want to offer services to help you decide what to buy / sell than do that on their own.
But if you have been a reader of this blog, you would have noticed that these days rather than talk / write about trading, my focus has shifted to the Mutual Funds arena specifically that of Equity funds since my expertise in markets helps me understand them better. In much of the world (democratic, liberal countries), equity has been the strongest driver of growth in terms of risk adjusted returns (Inflation adjusted returns) compared to every other asset class. In India though, Real Estate has provided way better returns (unless you were lucky enough to invest a large enough sum in few stocks that have given a zillion percent in returns) than other asset classes. In fact, despite my own inclination to not invest in Gold, Gold too has provided decent returns (thanks to both its rise in the International markets plus the continuous depreciation of the Rupee) which are very much comparable to one that is received by investing in equities.
Managing other people’s money is a multi-Billion Dollar enterprise world over. Everyone loves to try and beat the market though on the long term, very few actually possess the talent to do so without taking risks that could ruin their capital. Mutual funds are a good way to take part in the growth of equity for those who aren’t willing to put in the hard work of identifying opportunities by buying stocks of companies they believe in directly.
With real estate getting bogged down both in terms of prices being way off from what most people can afford as well as in terms of fresh regulations, equity investing is finally coming of age. Assets under Management by Mutual Funds / PMS / Hedge Funds have seen a steady growth reflecting this trend.
But the big question that I am unable to get an answer for is whether investors are getting the maximum buck for their investments. In my previous blog posts, I have showcased how even random investing can provide better returns than fund managers and given the churn that most mutual funds see in their portfolios, one does wonder whether a fund manager really possesses better knowledge about companies and industry than a layman on the street.
I believe every investor wants to maximize the returns he gets for the money he invests but that is not possible without having an in-depth understanding of where and how the returns are being generated. I hope that Portfolio Yoga will fill that gap by providing investors reference and understanding of risk, rewards and opportunities. Being neither a distributor of mutual funds, an agent of Insurance or a fund manager (PMS/ Hedge Funds), I hope that this site can provide you with a neutral perspective of things.
Investing is all about probability and over the coming years, I hope that Portfolio Yoga will provide you with the right tools that not only help you in selecting the right investments but also enable you to understand where you stand and the probability of you reaching your financial goals. While it’s true that there is no gain without pains, it’s also true that enduring pains do not assure of gains.
And before I conclude, let me thank from the bottom of the heard to you, dear reader since without your support, it would have been one hell of a lonely journey (hope it ain’t too cheesy :D). Thanks for being part of this journey. So, here’s me signing off and hoping for a awesome 2016 and beyond.
Disclaimer: The information contained within this blog is provided for informational & educational purposes only and is not intended to substitute for obtaining professional financial advice.
last one year articles have been excellent unlike the old ones “what happens to nifty when so and so is president of india” types. keep up the good work and congratulations. expecting more for ordinary traders from you
Yep, need to move away from stuff such as those which honestly have no actionable relevance. Thanks for your inputs.
Thanks very much for your insights. I have learnt quite a bit from them. Cheers.
Thank You.
have tremendously enjoyed reading your pieces and have even tried to find if you provide services with a fee :).hehe..finally went with moneylife.. I read your tweet today “Clueless investing is risking money on some one else’s Tips / Ideas (Free or Paid). Systems way better than humans”.. I am clueless about markets( i mean particular stocks or reading macro indicators..know basic know-how of market though)….. so following moneylife’s stock letters for investing.. do you think its a bad idea ?
Thanks for the kind words, my hope is to provide some food that enables you to be a better investor / trader. With regard to today’s tweet, I stand by the same.
I haven’t used Moneylife services and hence would not be able to comment on it. But here is the question – how much do you trust when it comes to investing your hard earned money. While we invest our cash in Gold (rarely do people buy Gold using credit), we are willing to buy Real Estate by taking high amount of leverage.
Yet, when it comes to the markets, most barely invest > 50% of our liquid networth, let alone take debt to buy stocks when they become really cheap. While the reason ascribed is that we relate volatility to risk, in my opinion, the bigger reason is we fear the unknown and markets are a big unknown.
When you develop / test strategies / systems, you have a better understanding of the nuances which inturn can help you take bigger risks. Wealth is not generated in my opinion by playing it safe.
Thanks for your response. Actually I am investing almost 60% of my take home as per their letters. This is to balance the huge debt portion which I have(as I had most of my money invested in FDs). In a way , either I play safe and don’t trust at all (like investing in FDs for yrs) or trust big(like investing in RE). I am not trusting of RE as everything is so hugely in favor of builder and my past experiences. One of the commercial property I invested in is going for liquidation.. so I finally moved to direct stocks but with some reliable voice.
I personally don’t have the skill or ability ( time I can find) and feel that its almost impossible for an average investor to get the reliable information about any stock/company. Would you suggest I should stay away from markets till I develop the skill myself or it’s okay to trust somebody like moneylife who advocate only long term investment. I understand that you have not used moneylife services etc(you don’t need to anyway :))) but how should I one go about finding an advisor otherwise ?
Im a new bie here… just understood you are an year old….good luck.. In the mean time , i intend to go through the old updates… thanks.
~zen