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Is making money in markets easy? Well, its both Yes and No. Yes, if you are positioned rightly, making money is as easy as pie. And No, that does not mean that money can be made without a process driven approach and definitely not by trying the luck in markets when the whole herd of sheep is headed that way....
Idea borrowed from here While the original post was done on Dow, I have done the same on Sensex. Number of data points is 7606 since the history of BSE Sensex is much smaller than Dow which has been in existence for more than a Century. Here is the result, Here is how it looks if plotted on daily basis...
With Elections due in May (unless early elections are called for), I look at how the markets have behaved prior to previous elections. Have used BSE Sensex returns for the computation. Election month performance is the performance of the market during the month of the election (results may or may not have been out in the same month).
On the web, there is a lot of material on how Full Moon and New Moon affect a variety of events on earth and the stock market is said to be no exception either. Here are some links you may want to glance through, http://emf.sagepub.com/content/12/1/107.abstract http://www.theidiotandthemoon.com/moontrading.html http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1366663 Above and many others which can be easily searched for seem to suggest...
The chart below displays the returns of BSE Sensex vs. S&P 500 of US since 1981 till date (November 7). What is interesting is that since 2003, we have outperformed S&P 500 on every positive occasion and under-performed S&P 500 whenever the year ended in negative territory. I have used the Open and Close to determine the returns. 2013 seems...
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