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Its been 9 months (nearly) since I wrote this post (link) and markets in the meantime has appreciated (with a couple of glitches on the way) by around 15%. A FD on the other hand would have yielded at best 6.75% and hence markets have for now hands down beaten my view of FD being a better bet (though since...
When Nifty closed in Red on Friday (8th Nov 2013), it was the 37th occasion that we have seen Nifty Current Month running futures close in negative for the 5th day running. The chart below (which is plotted on Log Scale) shows the occasions of number of Winning / Losing streaks. 1 means that the Win / Loss was...
The intra-day volatility in Nifty has considerably reduced since the insane volatility we saw in 2008. But is this the calm before the storm? Above pic shows the ATR of 14 days on Hourly data of Nifty Futures.
With Nifty rising by nearly 23% from the low registered in late August, the question on top of the mind is whether markets are way over-valued compared to historical values. One way to measure valuation is by PE and here I have plotted the CNX Nifty PE since 2000 with Standard Deviations (1,2) on either side. As on date, we...
With Diwali around the corner, it’s once again time for all the Charlie’s to start picking up stocks that one should buy and which would do well in the coming year. If only predicting the markets were so easy as 1-2-3, you would be reading about them on Forbes Richest 100 instead of seeing them appear on TV. Let’s first...
By nature, I am a pretty optimistic person and that has meant that in the markets, I am more willing to take a bullish bet than a bearish one. In fact, if I were to go back to all my postings I have made here since the start of the group, the tone is one of bullish with markets ready...
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