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Nifty finally broke down today more than what we had seen in quite some time. The last time we had a 2% or more cut was way back on January 27th. While the damage seemed to be big in Indexes such as Small and Mid Cap, we need to understand that these indices are up quite strongly for the year...
A interesting use of Moving Averages is in Mean Reversion. While many trend followers swear by a Moving Average (or Moving Average Crossover), its interesting that the same can also be used for a Mean Reversion strategy (not that I would recommend doing that). This pic from Wikipedia showcases the same We can measure a trend in various ways. One...
Once again, this blog is based on a US blog which showed that Dow has had 600 days since seeing a 3% reaction. Since our markets are in itself in the middle of a good bull run, I figured out that it would be interesting to check out as to how many occasions we had seen a 3% reaction in...
One of the key numbers I look at regularly is the PE ratio of Nifty to have a idea as to the valuation Nifty currently commands and whether markets are cheap, expensive or neither of the two. For quite some time now (since mid 2011 to be precise), Nifty PE ratio has been moving around its long term average. Only...
The current surge in prices has placed me in a quandry as to whether its still a good time to invest in the markets. While Infrastructure Index is up by 20.6% this month alone, we still are way way below compared to the glorious heights that was reached in 2007. Same is the case with a lot of other sectors...
While Nifty did close positive, the very fact that we gained just about 100 points for a victory of the kind unseen since 1977 (non congress) does in a way reduce the enthusiasm about whether markets are really ready to take off or are we seeing a topping out formation. On one hand, this move of today has a precedence...
On Twitter, its amazing to see the number of winners who seem to be right in whatever trade they report (mostly after the move) and in an attempt to get them to commit to something, commented that I was going into the election result day with “Long Nifty” positions. Good friend, Nitin of Alpha Ideas replied back with a quote...
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