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I am bad at Predictions. In 2004, I did not have any major position in the markets but was bullish on the reelection of the NDA government. In 2009, I had what I assumed was a position that won’t get hurt regardless of the election results (a short option strangle on the Nifty). Nope, markets decided that I was actually...
Mahesh had an interesting question he posed The replies are interesting and many on the dot. But first let’s look at the performance (10 years I assume is a good start) I am using the Nifty 100 Index not the TRI since even an index fund cannot match the TRI and there is no way to replicate that performance. Standalone,...
An extraordinary year has come to a close. The gains for the year is nothing close to the best years and yet, this has been a landmark year for investors. While one remembers years like 2017 or even 2014, this year was way way special. Look at the following chart for example. It plots the average number of securities that...
In recent times, there has been a lot of talk about Global Investing with all kinds of narratives spun around to make it sound that if you are not investing globally you are missing out. Nothing could be further than the truth, but selling expensive products requires a good narrative and right now with US markets providing market-beating returns, a...
In 2008, Reliance Power came out with a massive public issue. At that point no one could have called it a peak but in hindsight that became the peak due to the fall in the US markets which set the ball rolling downwards across the world. From that point onwards big issues are seen as a probable peak point though...
The other-knowing are wise The self-knowing are discerning Those who triumph over others have muscle Those who triumph over themselves are commanding Those who what enough is are affluent Those who practice strenuously have resolve Those who don’t lose their place are enduring Those who die and don’t disappear are long-lived – Laozi / Tao Te Ching For many businesses,...
In 1996, I was a greenhorn in the stock markets. My guide and mentor then had a few years experience but in hindsight was even more naive than me. I did not know about Beginner’s luck but I had the luck of not just entering the market at a time when sentiments were not great and arbitrages all around but...
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